铁文静, 金爱花. 结直肠癌转移相关因素预测及临床意义[J]. 中国肿瘤临床, 2023, 50(14): 708-713. DOI: 10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2023.20230409
引用本文: 铁文静, 金爱花. 结直肠癌转移相关因素预测及临床意义[J]. 中国肿瘤临床, 2023, 50(14): 708-713. DOI: 10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2023.20230409
Wenjing Tie, Aihua Jin. Prediction and clinical significance of factors associated with colorectal cancer metastasis[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY, 2023, 50(14): 708-713. DOI: 10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2023.20230409
Citation: Wenjing Tie, Aihua Jin. Prediction and clinical significance of factors associated with colorectal cancer metastasis[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY, 2023, 50(14): 708-713. DOI: 10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2023.20230409

结直肠癌转移相关因素预测及临床意义

Prediction and clinical significance of factors associated with colorectal cancer metastasis

  • 摘要:
      目的  探究结直肠癌转移相关因素,为临床预测发生转移的风险,以便及时调整治疗策略提供参考。
      方法  收集延边大学附属医院经术前和(或)术后病理明确诊断为结直肠癌的551例患者的临床资料。进行多因素Logistic回归分析。绘制受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic,ROC),分析与转移相关的因素及其预测价值。
      结果  转移组与非转移组在肿瘤类型、肿瘤分化程度、肿瘤原发部位、肿瘤大小、CEA、CA199、CA125、淋巴细胞、C反应蛋白、PLR、NLR、CAR、SII差异均具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。CEA、CA125、C反应蛋白、PLR、联合预测的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.633、0.580、0.579、0.599、0.665。多因素分析结果示:CEA、C反应蛋白、PLR是结直肠癌转移的独立危险因素;CEA、CA125为单纯肝转移的独立危险因素;PLR为单纯淋巴结转移的独立危险因素(OR>1且P<0.05)。
      结论  CEA、PLR、C反应蛋白、CEA+CA125+C反应蛋白+PLR对结直肠癌转移存在预测价值。CEA、CA125对结直肠癌单纯肝转移存在预测价值。PLR对结直肠癌单纯淋巴结转移存在预测价值。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To investigate the factors associated with colorectal cancer metastasis and provide clinical reference for predicting the risk of developing metastasis to adjust the treatment strategy in a timely manner.
      Methods  Clinical data were collected from 551 patients who were definitively diagnosed with colorectal cancer using preoperative and/or postoperative pathology in Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University from June 2012 to June 2022. Multi-factor Logistic regression analysis was performed. The subject receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted, analyzing transfer-related factors and their predictive value.
      Results  There were statistically significant differences between the metastatic and non-metastatic groups in tumor type, degree of tumor differentiation, tumor primary site, tumor size, CEA, CA199, CA125, lymphocytes, C-reactive protein, PLR, NLR, CAR, and SII (P<0.05). The areas under the ROC curve for CEA, CA125, C-reactive protein, and PLR, combined, for prediction were 0.633, 0.580, 0.579, 0.599, and 0.665, respectively. The results of multi-factor analysis showed that CEA, C-reactive protein, and PLR were independent risk factors for colorectal cancer metastasis. CEA and CA125 were independent risk factors for colorectal cancer metastasis to the liver only. PLR was an independent risk factor for colorectal cancer metastasis to the lymph nodes only (OR>1, P<0.05).
      Conclusions  CEA, PLR, C-reactive protein, and CEA+CA125+C-reactive protein+PLR have predictive value for colorectal cancer metastasis. CEA and CA125 have predictive value for colorectal cancer metastasis to the liver alone. PLR has predictive value for colorectal cancer metastasis to the lymph nodes alone.

     

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