基于肿瘤浸润免疫细胞的弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤预后模型的构建及初步评价

Construction and preliminary evaluation of a prognostic model for diffuse larger B-cell lymphoma based on tumor-infiltrating immune cells

  • 摘要:
      目的  探索免疫化疗时代基于多种肿瘤浸润免疫细胞建立弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤(diffuse large B-cell lymphoma,DLBCL)预后模型并进行初步评价。
      方法  采用ImmuCellAI算法计算DLBCL肿瘤微环境中24种免疫细胞的丰度,通过(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator,LASSO)回归和Cox回归筛选预测变量并构建基于免疫细胞的风险评分模型(immune cells-based risk scores,IRS)模型。同时将IRS模型与患者临床因素相结合,构建IRSC模型。采用Kaplan-Meier法和ROC曲线评估该模型,采用列线图计算不同时间点的生存率。
      结果  IRS模型高风险组患者总生存时间(OS)明显低于低风险组P=1e-15,HR=0.298(0.217 6~0.408 2),基于患者1、3、5年生存情况的ROC曲线AUC值分别为0.728、0.711和0.615,且该模型风险评分与免疫检查点抑制剂(immune checkpoint inhibitors,ICPIs)疗效呈负相关。IRSC模型较IRS模型预测效果更佳:高风险组预后显著差于低风险组P < 2e-16,HR=0.170(0.114 3~0.253),基于患者1、3、5年生存情况的ROC曲线AUC值分别为0.797、0.809和0.792。
      结论  IRS模型能很好的预测DLBCL患者的预后及对ICPIs的疗效,而IRSC模型预后价值更高。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To establish and preliminary evaluate a prognostic model of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) based on tu-mor-infiltrating immune cells in the era of immunochemotherapy.
      Methods  The immune cell abundance identifier (ImmuCellAI) algo-rithm was used to calculate the abundance of 24 immune cells in the DLBCL tumor microenvironment, and the least absolute shrink-age and selection operator (LASSO) regression and COX regression were used to screen predictive variables and build the immune cells-based risk scores model (IRS model). IRSC model was constructed by combining IRS model and the clinical factors of the patients. The Kaplan-Meier method and ROC curve were used to evaluate the model, and nomogram was used to calculate the survival rate at differ-ent time points.
      Results  The overall survival time (OS) of the high-risk patients of the IRS model was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group P=1e-15, HR=0.298 (0.2176-0.4082), and the AUC value of ROC curves based on patients' 1-, 3-, and 5-year surviv-al were 0.728, 0.711 and 0.615, respectively, and the risk score of this model was negatively correlated with the efficacy of Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICPIs). The predictive value of IRSC model was higher than that of IRS model: the prognosis of the high- risk group was significantly worse than that of the low-risk P < 2e-16, HR = 0.17 (0.1143-0.253). The AUC value of ROC curves based on 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were 0.797, 0.809 and 0.792, respectively.
      Conclusions  The IRS model can well predict the prognosis of DLBCL patients and the efficacy of ICPIs, while the IRSC model has higher prognostic power.

     

/

返回文章
返回